L’École des cotes

Molde v Kristiansund BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 14:04 UTC

Score final : Molde 1–0 Kristiansund BK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Molde (Local)

Prévision 67.38%1.48cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -3.05%
Kelly -10.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%67.23%67.44%69.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.12%72.99%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.98%7.15cote équitable
EV +0.630%
Avantage +0.087%
Kelly +0.102%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 7.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.04%14.11%13.91%16.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.616.707.2018.18%15.13%14.93%13.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.65%5.36cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.298%
Kelly +0.365%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.69%18.66%18.65%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.854.905.4525.00%20.63%20.41%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.40%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.78%EV -1.47%E -0.208%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +1.62%E +0.298%K +0.365%G +0.006%3.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -5.00%E -3.54%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.53%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.88%EV +0.876%E +0.162%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.4%2026-05-16 13:59
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 14:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:59
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.84%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:56
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:58
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:00
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 13.80%EV -6.08%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 18.97%EV -8.82%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.91%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -0.768%E -0.108%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -10.13%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 13:59
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 13:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -23.13%E -4.21%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.19%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -12.41%E -9.55%K -41.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:58
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.71%E -7.25%K -28.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 13:59
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.53%EV -11.74%E -8.96%K -37.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.95%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 13:59
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.08%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -17.54%E -2.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -25.42%E -6.35%K -8.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.10%2.3%2026-05-16 14:00