La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Molde v Kristiansund BK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Molde (Local)
Predicción 67.38%1.48momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -3.05%
Kelly -10.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%67.23%67.44%69.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.12%72.99%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kristiansund BK (Visitante)
Predicción 13.98%7.15momio equitativo
EV +0.630%
Ventaja +0.087%
Kelly +0.102%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.04%14.11%13.91%16.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.616.707.2018.18%15.13%14.93%13.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.65%5.36momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.298%
Kelly +0.365%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.69%18.66%18.65%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.854.905.4525.00%20.63%20.41%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.40%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.78%EV -1.47%E -0.208%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +1.62%E +0.298%K +0.365%G +0.006% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -5.00%E -3.54%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.53%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.88%EV +0.876%E +0.162%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.84%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:56 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 13.80%EV -6.08%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 18.97%EV -8.82%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.91%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -0.768%E -0.108%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -10.13%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -23.13%E -4.21%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.19%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -12.41%E -9.55%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.71%E -7.25%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.53%EV -11.74%E -8.96%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.95%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.08%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -17.54%E -2.97%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -25.42%E -6.35%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.10% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |