Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Molde v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Molde 4–1 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Molde (Local)

Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.92%63.57%63.55%65.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.461.451.5371.94%68.29%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 15.94%6.27fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.433%
Kelly +0.512%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 6.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.93%16.02%16.18%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.605.506.4520.00%17.86%18.18%15.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.36%4.91fair odd
EV +0.562%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.143%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.46%20.41%20.28%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.384.404.9426.67%22.85%22.73%20.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 63.71%; HamKam (Visit): 15.94%; Draw: 20.36%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.27. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.14%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.05%EV +2.79%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.252%E -0.051%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.19%EV +1.36%E +0.213%K +0.253%G +0.003%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV +0.562%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.397%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 06:19
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.96%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -3.90%E -0.647%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -4.12%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.32%E -0.920%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 07:55
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 13:33
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.97%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.04%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.34%EV -5.75%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 06:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 06:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:30
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 06:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.31%E -0.696%K -0.881%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.60%EV -11.45%E -8.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.32%EV -11.45%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 06:00
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.50%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.66%E -6.31%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.30%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -13.94%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 05:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -4.44%E -2.96%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.62%EV -10.17%E -7.22%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 06:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.02%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -19.59%E -4.96%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 05:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-12 14:20