L’École des cotes

Molde v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : Molde 4–1 HamKam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Molde (Local)

Prévision 63.71%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -4.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.92%63.57%63.55%65.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.461.451.5371.94%68.29%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.94%6.27cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +0.433%
Kelly +0.512%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 6.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.93%16.02%16.18%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.605.506.4520.00%17.86%18.18%15.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.36%4.91cote équitable
EV +0.562%
Avantage +0.114%
Kelly +0.143%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.46%20.41%20.28%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.384.404.9426.67%22.85%22.73%20.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.14%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.05%EV +2.79%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.252%E -0.051%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 13:40
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.19%EV +1.36%E +0.213%K +0.253%G +0.003%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV +0.562%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:30
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.397%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 06:19
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.96%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -3.90%E -0.647%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -4.12%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.32%E -0.920%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 07:55
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 13:33
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:20
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.97%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.04%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.34%EV -5.75%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 06:54
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 06:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 06:00
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.31%E -0.696%K -0.881%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.60%EV -11.45%E -8.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.32%EV -11.45%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 06:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.50%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.66%E -6.31%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.30%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -13.94%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 05:59
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -4.44%E -2.96%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.62%EV -10.17%E -7.22%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 06:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.02%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -19.59%E -4.96%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 05:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-12 14:20