La escuela de los momiosMolde v HamKam
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Molde (Local)
Predicción 63.71%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -4.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.92%63.57%63.55%65.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.461.451.5371.94%68.29%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
HamKam (Visitante)
Predicción 15.94%6.27momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +0.433%
Kelly +0.512%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.93%16.02%16.18%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.605.506.4520.00%17.86%18.18%15.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.36%4.91momio equitativo
EV +0.562%
Ventaja +0.114%
Kelly +0.143%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.46%20.41%20.28%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.384.404.9426.67%22.85%22.73%20.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.14%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.05%EV +2.79%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.252%E -0.051%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.19%EV +1.36%E +0.213%K +0.253%G +0.003% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV +0.562%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.397%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 06:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.96%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -3.90%E -0.647%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -4.12%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 14:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.32%E -0.920%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 13:33 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 06:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.97%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.04%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.34%EV -5.75%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 06:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 07:00 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.31%E -0.696%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.60%EV -11.45%E -8.24%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.32%EV -11.45%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.50%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.66%E -6.31%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-12 06:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.30%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -13.94%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 05:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -4.44%E -2.96%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.62%EV -10.17%E -7.22%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.02%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -19.59%E -4.96%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-12 05:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 14:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 14:20 |