La scuola delle quote

Molde v HamKam

Inizio: 2026-04-12 15:00 UTC

Finale: Molde 4–1 HamKam

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Molde (Casa)

Previsione 63.71%1.57quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -4.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.92%63.57%63.55%65.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.461.451.5371.94%68.29%68.97%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

HamKam (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.94%6.27quota equa
EV +2.79%
Vantaggio +0.433%
Kelly +0.512%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.93%16.02%16.18%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.605.506.4520.00%17.86%18.18%15.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.36%4.91quota equa
EV +0.562%
Vantaggio +0.114%
Kelly +0.143%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.46%20.41%20.28%22.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.384.404.9426.67%22.85%22.73%20.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.14%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.05%EV +2.79%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.252%E -0.051%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 13:40
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.19%EV +1.36%E +0.213%K +0.253%G +0.003%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV +0.562%E +0.114%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.5%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:30
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.99%EV +0.400%E +0.063%K +0.075%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -5.34%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.397%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 06:19
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.96%EV -5.08%E -3.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.80%EV -3.90%E -0.647%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -4.12%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.32%E -0.920%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 07:55
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 13:33
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:20
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -4.38%E -0.730%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -6.99%E -4.79%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.97%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.04%EV -6.45%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.34%EV -5.75%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 06:54
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 06:00
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.90%E -6.22%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.37%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -8.39%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.76%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 06:00
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.31%E -0.696%K -0.881%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:20
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.60%EV -11.45%E -8.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.32%EV -11.45%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 06:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.50%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -12.35%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.66%E -6.31%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-12 06:20
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.30%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -13.94%E -2.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 05:59
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -2.53%E -1.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -8.26%E -5.74%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.33%E -3.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -3.17%E -2.08%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -4.44%E -2.96%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.62%EV -10.17%E -7.22%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -18.72%E -3.67%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -10.43%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 06:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.02%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -19.59%E -4.96%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.81%E -7.72%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.32%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 05:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-12 14:20