The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Molde v Fredrikstad FK

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 18:15 UTC

Final: Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Molde (Local)

Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.41%68.54%68.71%70.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.361.361.4379.37%73.48%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visit)

Prediction 13.39%7.47fair odd
EV +5.08%
Edge +0.647%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 7.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.33%13.46%13.38%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.626.507.8516.67%15.10%15.38%12.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV -0.724%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.159%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.20%18.00%17.91%19.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.965.005.5422.22%20.18%20.00%18.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 68.69%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 13.39%; Draw: 17.92%. For Fredrikstad FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.83%EV -4.51%E -3.25%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.36%EV +5.08%E +0.647%K +0.741%G +0.038%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.81%EV -2.34%E -0.429%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-25 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.29%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.81I 12.80%NM 12.33%EV +4.54%E +0.582%K +0.667%G +0.030%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.38%EV -0.724%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 18:03
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.35%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.76%EV +0.393%E +0.052%K +0.061%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.89%EV -4.13%E -0.772%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 18:08
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.393%E +0.052%K +0.061%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 18:03
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.07%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.87%EV -2.28%E -0.313%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.57%EV -7.26%E -5.38%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -3.62%E -0.503%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.23%E -0.599%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.57%EV -7.26%E -5.38%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -3.62%E -0.503%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.23%E -0.599%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.57%EV -7.26%E -5.38%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -3.62%E -0.503%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.23%E -0.599%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.13%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.66%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.66%EV -3.62%E -0.503%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 16:56
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.59%EV -5.76%E -0.819%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.08%EV -5.20%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 18:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 18:03
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -9.32%E -7.06%K -29.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 17:48
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.30%E -0.900%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 18:02
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.75%EV -1.77%E -1.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.89%EV -8.04%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.65%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 18:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.37%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.57%EV -8.31%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.06%EV -7.71%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 17:50
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.65%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 18:03
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.65%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.97%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -9.65%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -13.09%E -2.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 18:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.98%EV -7.95%E -5.93%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.80%EV -11.65%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 18:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.64%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.52%EV -11.65%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 18:03
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 18:03
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -7.26%E -5.38%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 18:03
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.70%E -8.23%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 18:03
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.99%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -14.33%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.38%EV -13.45%E -10.67%K -51.71%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.68%EV -15.67%E -2.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.95%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-25 18:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -7.95%E -5.93%K -23.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -16.34%E -2.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -5.02%E -0.948%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 18:03
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -16.34%E -2.61%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 18:02
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV -18.35%E -3.01%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV -18.35%E -3.01%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 18:40
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 16:35
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.62%EV -9.32%E -7.06%K -29.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.61%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 18:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.69%E -3.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%0.7%2026-10-25 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-10-25 18:03
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-10-25 18:03
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-10-25 18:03
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.39%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%1.5%2026-10-25 18:10

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