StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Molde v Fredrikstad FK

2026-10-25 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Direkter Vergleich

39 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Molde (Heim)

Prognose 63.42%1.58faire Quote
EV -2.97%
Vorteil -1.94%
Kelly -5.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.14%63.44%63.33%65.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.341.431.421.5374.63%70.07%70.42%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.57%6.03faire Quote
EV +6.06%
Vorteil +0.947%
Kelly +1.12%
Wachstum +0.068%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.62%16.58%16.67%18.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.755.755.806.4021.05%17.41%17.24%15.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.01%5.00faire Quote
EV -3.96%
Vorteil -0.824%
Kelly -1.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.37%19.98%19.99%20.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.604.604.8023.81%21.76%21.74%20.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Molde (Heim): 63.42%; Fredrikstad FK (Auswärts): 16.57%; Unentschieden: 20.01%. Für Fredrikstad FK (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.03. 10 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 6.40 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +6.06%.

Wettanbieterquoten (39 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV +1.09%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV +1.09%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 01:54
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -9.31%E -6.51%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 19:23
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -3.60%E -2.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.22%EV -2.23%E -0.377%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-19 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.31%E -6.51%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -2.23%E -0.377%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.73%EV -5.51%E -3.69%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.23%EV -3.05%E -0.522%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.03%EV -5.16%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -5.51%E -3.69%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.88%E -0.670%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 01:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.04%E -5.55%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.71%E -0.819%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -6.77%E -4.61%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 19:30
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.04%E -5.55%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 20:44
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 18:34
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -11.21%E -8.01%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.21%E -8.01%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 19:24
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -2.97%E -1.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.39%EV -9.02%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.22%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 19:15
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -4.24%E -2.81%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.36%EV -10.02%E -1.84%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.19%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.76%EV -3.60%E -2.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -10.51%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 01:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.41%EV -5.51%E -3.69%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.38%EV -11.34%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 19:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -13.00%E -2.48%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -8.04%E -5.55%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -13.83%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-19 00:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -11.85%E -8.52%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -15.48%E -3.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 63.37%EV -15.02%E -11.21%K -44.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.65%EV -15.48%E -3.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.98%EV -14.96%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-18 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.21%E -8.01%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -17.14%E -3.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -15.96%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-18 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.69%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -18.80%E -3.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-18 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -21.28%E -4.48%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 62.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%16.3%2026-10-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:10