StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Molde v Fredrikstad FK

2026-10-25 18:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Molde (Hemma)

Prognos 63.42%1.58rättvist odds
EV -2.97%
Fördel -1.94%
Kelly -5.60%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.14%63.44%63.33%65.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.341.431.421.5374.63%70.07%70.42%65.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Borta)

Prognos 16.57%6.03rättvist odds
EV +6.06%
Fördel +0.947%
Kelly +1.12%
Tillväxt +0.068%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.62%16.58%16.67%18.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.755.806.4021.05%17.41%17.24%15.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.01%5.00rättvist odds
EV -3.96%
Fördel -0.824%
Kelly -1.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.37%19.98%19.99%20.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.604.604.8023.81%21.76%21.74%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Molde (Hemma): 63.42%; Fredrikstad FK (Borta): 16.57%; Oavgjort: 20.01%. För Fredrikstad FK (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.03. 10 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 6.40, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +6.06%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:39
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +6.06%E +0.947%K +1.12%G +0.068%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV +1.09%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV +1.09%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 01:54
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -9.31%E -6.51%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.96%E -0.824%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 19:23
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -13.75%E -10.11%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -0.569%E -0.095%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 18:39
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -3.60%E -2.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.22%EV -2.23%E -0.377%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-19 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.31%E -6.51%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -2.23%E -0.377%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -5.96%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.73%EV -5.51%E -3.69%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.23%EV -3.05%E -0.522%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.03%EV -5.16%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -5.51%E -3.69%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.88%E -0.670%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 01:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.04%E -5.55%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.71%E -0.819%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -6.77%E -4.61%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.96%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 19:30
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.04%E -5.55%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 20:44
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 18:34
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -11.21%E -8.01%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.21%E -8.01%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.85%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 19:24
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -2.97%E -1.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.39%EV -9.02%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.22%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 19:15
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -4.24%E -2.81%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.36%EV -10.02%E -1.84%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.19%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.76%EV -3.60%E -2.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -10.51%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 01:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.41%EV -5.51%E -3.69%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.38%EV -11.34%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 19:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -13.00%E -2.48%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.89%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -8.04%E -5.55%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -13.83%E -2.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -7.96%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-19 00:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -11.85%E -8.52%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -15.48%E -3.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -9.96%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 63.37%EV -15.02%E -11.21%K -44.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.65%EV -15.48%E -3.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.98%EV -14.96%E -3.52%K -4.60%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-18 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -11.21%E -8.01%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -17.14%E -3.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -15.96%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-18 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.69%EV -12.48%E -9.04%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -18.80%E -3.84%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.66%EV -11.96%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-18 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -8.68%E -6.03%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -21.28%E -4.48%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -13.36%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 18:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 62.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%16.3%2026-10-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:10