Language:English
Molde v Aalesund
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Molde (Local)
Prediction 69.93%1.43fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.55%69.87%70.07%72.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.331.341.4080.00%75.01%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aalesund (Visit)
Prediction 13.61%7.35fair odd
EV +15.64%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.326%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.22%13.58%13.50%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.636.758.5018.18%15.09%14.81%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.47%6.07fair odd
EV +7.03%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.56%16.56%16.43%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.405.506.5021.05%18.53%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 69.93%; Aalesund (Visit): 13.61%; Draw: 16.47%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.35. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +15.64%E +1.84%K +2.09%G +0.326% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -20.14%E -4.15%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.42%EV +11.56%E +1.41%K +1.61%G +0.186% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.88%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.48%EV +4.35%E +0.567%K +0.652%G +0.028% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.314%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +7.03%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.090% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.31%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.20%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.48%EV -8.61%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.50%E -0.775%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.65%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.97%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 15:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.68%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.23%EV -9.39%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.09%EV -3.01%E -0.512%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-19 15:32 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.59%EV -12.52%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.93%EV -8.78%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.41%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.77%EV -10.49%E -8.20%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-19 15:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.70%EV -15.65%E -2.52%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.28%EV -11.19%E -8.81%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.42%EV -17.01%E -2.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.08%E -2.05%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.43%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -2.85%E -0.483%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -12.59%E -10.07%K -50.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.86%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.09%E -3.64%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -6.14%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.68% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.45% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |