赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Molde v Aalesund

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

最终结果： Molde 1–2 Aalesund

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Molde (主队)

预测 69.93%1.43公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
66.55%69.87%70.07%72.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.331.341.4080.00%75.01%74.63%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aalesund (客队)

预测 13.61%7.35公平赔率
EV +15.64%
优势 +1.84%
Kelly +2.09%
增长率 +0.326%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.22%13.58%13.50%16.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.636.758.5018.18%15.09%14.81%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.47%6.07公平赔率
EV +7.03%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.090%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.56%16.56%16.43%19.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.405.506.5021.05%18.53%18.18%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Molde (主队)：69.93%；Aalesund (客队)：13.61%；平局：16.47%。 对于“Aalesund (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.35。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+15.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +15.64%E +1.84%K +2.09%G +0.326%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -20.14%E -4.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 15:44
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.42%EV +11.56%E +1.41%K +1.61%G +0.186%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.88%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.48%EV +4.35%E +0.567%K +0.652%G +0.028%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.314%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +7.03%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.090%5.6%2026-09-19 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.31%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.20%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.48%EV -8.61%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:01
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.50%E -0.775%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 15:31
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:01
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:31
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.65%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.97%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:43
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.68%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.23%EV -9.39%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.09%EV -3.01%E -0.512%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:44
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:01
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 15:32
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.59%EV -12.52%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.93%EV -8.78%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:06
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:06
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:01
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.41%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.77%EV -10.49%E -8.20%K -37.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.70%EV -15.65%E -2.52%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.28%EV -11.19%E -8.81%K -41.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.42%EV -17.01%E -2.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.08%E -2.05%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.43%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -2.85%E -0.483%K -0.581%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -12.59%E -10.07%K -50.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.86%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.09%E -3.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -6.14%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:06
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.68%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-09-19 15:44