Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Molde v Aalesund

Początek: 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Molde 1–2 Aalesund

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Molde (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 69.93%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -2.10%
Przewaga -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.55%69.87%70.07%72.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.331.341.4080.00%75.01%74.63%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Aalesund (Goście)

Prognoza 13.61%7.35kurs godziwy
EV +15.64%
Przewaga +1.84%
Kelly +2.09%
Wzrost +0.326%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.22%13.58%13.50%16.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.506.636.758.5018.18%15.09%14.81%11.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 16.47%6.07kurs godziwy
EV +7.03%
Przewaga +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Wzrost +0.090%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.56%16.56%16.43%19.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.755.405.506.5021.05%18.53%18.18%15.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Molde (Gospodarze): 69.93%; Aalesund (Goście): 13.61%; Remis: 16.47%. Dla wyniku Aalesund (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.35. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +15.64%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +15.64%E +1.84%K +2.09%G +0.326%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -20.14%E -4.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 15:44
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.42%EV +11.56%E +1.41%K +1.61%G +0.186%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.88%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.48%EV +4.35%E +0.567%K +0.652%G +0.028%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.314%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +7.03%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.090%5.6%2026-09-19 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.31%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.20%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.48%EV -8.61%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:01
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.50%E -0.775%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 15:31
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:01
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:31
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.65%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.97%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:43
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.68%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.23%EV -9.39%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.09%EV -3.01%E -0.512%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:44
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:01
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 15:32
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.59%EV -12.52%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.93%EV -8.78%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:06
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:06
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:01
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.41%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.77%EV -10.49%E -8.20%K -37.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.70%EV -15.65%E -2.52%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.28%EV -11.19%E -8.81%K -41.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.42%EV -17.01%E -2.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.08%E -2.05%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.43%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -2.85%E -0.483%K -0.581%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -12.59%E -10.07%K -50.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.86%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.09%E -3.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -6.14%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.68%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-09-19 15:44