L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Molde v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Score final : Molde 1–2 Aalesund

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Molde (Local)

Prévision 69.93%1.43cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.55%69.87%70.07%72.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.331.341.4080.00%75.01%74.63%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.61%7.35cote équitable
EV +15.64%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.326%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.22%13.58%13.50%16.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.636.758.5018.18%15.09%14.81%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.47%6.07cote équitable
EV +7.03%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.56%16.56%16.43%19.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.405.506.5021.05%18.53%18.18%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Molde (Local) : 69.93% ; Aalesund (Visiteur) : 13.61% ; Match nul : 16.47%. Pour Aalesund (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.35. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +15.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +15.64%E +1.84%K +2.09%G +0.326%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -20.14%E -4.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 15:44
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.42%EV +11.56%E +1.41%K +1.61%G +0.186%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.88%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.48%EV +4.35%E +0.567%K +0.652%G +0.028%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV +2.04%E +0.272%K +0.314%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +7.03%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.090%5.6%2026-09-19 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.31%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.20%EV -0.002%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.48%EV -8.61%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.04%E -0.284%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:01
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.50%E -0.775%K -0.937%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 15:31
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:01
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 15:31
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -4.76%E -0.680%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -21.79%E -4.59%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -7.48%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.65%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.52%EV -6.97%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:06
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -8.16%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:43
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.68%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.23%EV -9.39%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.09%EV -3.01%E -0.512%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 15:44
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:01
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.57%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 15:32
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.48%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.59%EV -12.52%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.93%EV -8.78%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:06
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -12.93%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 15:06
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:01
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.41%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.32%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.77%EV -10.49%E -8.20%K -37.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -19.32%E -3.94%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -14.97%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -17.67%E -3.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.03%EV -7.69%E -5.83%K -24.04%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.70%EV -15.65%E -2.52%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -7.79%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.28%EV -11.19%E -8.81%K -41.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.42%EV -17.01%E -2.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.08%E -2.05%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.43%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -2.85%E -0.483%K -0.581%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -12.59%E -10.07%K -50.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -18.37%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -9.44%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.86%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -21.09%E -3.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -6.14%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.55%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -25.17%E -4.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.55%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-09-19 15:50
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.68%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.45%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-09-19 15:44