Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.25
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 4.02
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 30.44%; Viking FK (Visit): 45.07%; Draw: 24.49%. For Lillestrom (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -1.06%E -0.325%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -1.06%E -0.325%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86%EV -5.93%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -1.57%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.96%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -11.21%E -5.69%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.17%EV -8.97%E -3.00%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.45%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.80%EV -9.58%E -3.23%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.93%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.50%EV -13.01%E -6.74%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.50%EV -13.47%E -7.01%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-23 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.65%E -6.76%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-27 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -17.80%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -13.92%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -17.80%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.19%EV -16.17%E -8.69%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22% | 13.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 45.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 25.06% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 28.97% | 99.5% | 2026-05-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 45.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 25.06% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 28.97% | 99.5% | 2026-05-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 39.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 20.39% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 40.39% | 145.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |