La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lillestrom v Viking FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 30.44%3.28momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.469%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.06%30.43%30.55%32.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.053.2537.04%33.28%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Viking FK (Visitante)
Predicción 45.07%2.22momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.75%45.04%44.96%45.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.862.032.052.1553.76%49.27%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.49%4.08momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.390%
Kelly -0.520%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%24.53%24.49%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.733.754.0231.25%26.78%26.67%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -1.06%E -0.325%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -1.06%E -0.325%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 14:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86%EV -5.93%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -1.57%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.96%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 14:07 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 14:18 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -11.21%E -5.69%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.17%EV -8.97%E -3.00%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.45%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| GTbets | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.80%EV -9.58%E -3.23%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.93%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.50%EV -13.01%E -6.74%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.50%EV -13.47%E -7.01%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-23 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.65%E -6.76%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-27 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -17.80%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -13.92%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -17.80%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.19%EV -16.17%E -8.69%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-23 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22% | 13.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 45.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 25.06% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 28.97% | 99.5% | 2026-05-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 45.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 25.06% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 28.97% | 99.5% | 2026-05-28 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 39.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 20.39% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 40.39% | 145.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |