A Escola das Odds

Lillestrom v Viking FK

Início: 2026-05-30 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lillestrom (Local)

Previsão 30.44%3.28odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.469%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.06%30.43%30.55%32.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.003.053.2537.04%33.28%32.79%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Viking FK (Visitante)

Previsão 45.07%2.22odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.75%45.04%44.96%45.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.862.032.052.1553.76%49.27%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.49%4.08odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.390%
Kelly -0.520%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.04%24.53%24.49%26.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.733.754.0231.25%26.78%26.67%24.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -1.06%E -0.325%K -0.469%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 07:39
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -1.06%E -0.325%K -0.469%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:08
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 14:09
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 14:49
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.86%EV -5.93%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -1.57%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 14:09
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.96%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 14:09
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 14:09
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 14:09
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:07
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 14:18
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -11.21%E -5.69%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 14:09
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.17%EV -8.97%E -3.00%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.45%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:00
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 31.80%EV -9.58%E -3.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.93%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 14:09
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.50%EV -13.01%E -6.74%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 14:09
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 15:00
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 14:29
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.96%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-26 14:19
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 14:29
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.50%EV -13.47%E -7.01%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.65%E -6.76%K -9.84%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-27 14:00
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -17.80%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -13.92%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-23 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -17.80%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.19%EV -16.17%E -8.69%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-23 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%13.1%2026-05-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 45.98%2.00I 50.00%NM 25.06%1.73I 57.80%NM 28.97%99.5%2026-05-28 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 45.98%2.00I 50.00%NM 25.06%1.73I 57.80%NM 28.97%99.5%2026-05-28 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 39.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 20.39%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.39%145.2%2026-05-28 17:39