Language:English
Lillestrom v Vålerenga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lillestrom (Local)
Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.39%50.57%50.52%51.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.831.8858.82%54.66%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vålerenga (Visit)
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV +0.049%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.017%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%26.06%26.11%27.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.8331.25%28.54%28.57%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%23.38%23.37%24.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.893.854.2027.40%25.71%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 50.53%; Vålerenga (Visit): 26.12%; Draw: 23.35%. For Vålerenga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.828. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.830, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.049%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -2.56%E -0.687%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.04%EV -3.55%E -0.861%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -2.82%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.46%EV -6.12%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 04:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 15:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -14.11%E -8.30%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.07%E -5.65%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-09 04:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |