StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lillestrom v Vålerenga

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-12 14:01 UTC

Endstand: Lillestrom 2–0 Vålerenga

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lillestrom (Heim)

Prognose 50.53%1.98faire Quote
EV -5.01%
Vorteil -2.67%
Kelly -5.70%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.39%50.57%50.52%51.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.701.831.831.8858.82%54.66%54.64%53.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Vålerenga (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.12%3.83faire Quote
EV +0.049%
Vorteil +0.013%
Kelly +0.017%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.11%26.06%26.11%27.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.503.503.8331.25%28.54%28.57%26.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.35%4.28faire Quote
EV -1.92%
Vorteil -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.37%23.38%23.37%24.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.653.893.854.2027.40%25.71%25.97%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Lillestrom (Heim): 50.53%; Vålerenga (Auswärts): 26.12%; Unentschieden: 23.35%. Für Vålerenga (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.828. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.830 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.049%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 20:45
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -2.56%E -0.687%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.04%EV -3.55%E -0.861%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 22:25
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -2.82%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:00
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.46%EV -6.12%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 14:00
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 04:10
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 13:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 15:23
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 14:10
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 21:24
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 14:09
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 14:09
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -14.11%E -8.30%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 06:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.07%E -5.65%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 22:30
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-09 04:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-09-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-09-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-09-09 16:36
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-09-09 16:30