Langue:Français
Lillestrom v Vålerenga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lillestrom (Local)
Prévision 50.53%1.98cote équitable
EV -5.01%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.39%50.57%50.52%51.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.831.831.8858.82%54.66%54.64%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Vålerenga (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.12%3.83cote équitable
EV +0.049%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.017%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.11%26.06%26.11%27.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.503.503.8331.25%28.54%28.57%26.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.35%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.457%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%23.38%23.37%24.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.893.854.2027.40%25.71%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lillestrom (Local) : 50.53% ; Vålerenga (Visiteur) : 26.12% ; Match nul : 23.35%. Pour Vålerenga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.828. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.830, soit une espérance positive de +0.049%.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -2.56%E -0.687%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.04%EV -3.55%E -0.861%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -6.02%E -3.24%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -2.82%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.35%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.46%EV -6.12%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 04:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.76%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.57%E -5.97%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.01%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.92%E -0.457%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.26%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 15:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.04%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.47%EV -8.55%E -4.72%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.60%E -3.67%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -14.11%E -8.30%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -10.07%E -5.65%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -8.93%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -10.09%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -12.59%E -7.28%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-09 04:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |