Language:English
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lillestrom (Local)
Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.31%51.77%51.63%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.801.801.9059.88%55.57%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sandefjord (Visit)
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.653%
Kelly +0.840%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%22.86%22.99%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.893.804.5029.41%25.73%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.37%25.38%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.69%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 51.75%; Sandefjord (Visit): 22.88%; Draw: 25.37%. For Sandefjord (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.61%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.24%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.05%EV -5.87%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.45%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.44%EV -3.24%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.11%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.30%EV -1.67%E -0.879%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.62%EV -8.91%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.78%E -2.60%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.93%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.59%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -13.57%E -8.13%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -16.50%E -4.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -18.81%E -5.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -19.94%E -5.70%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -22.22%E -6.54%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |