L’École des cotesLillestrom v Sandefjord
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lillestrom (Local)
Prévision 51.75%1.93cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.31%51.77%51.63%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.801.801.9059.88%55.57%55.56%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sandefjord (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV +2.94%
Avantage +0.653%
Kelly +0.840%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%22.86%22.99%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.893.804.5029.41%25.73%26.32%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.37%3.94cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -0.944%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.36%25.37%25.38%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.69%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.61%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.24%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.05%EV -5.87%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.45%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.44%EV -3.24%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.11%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.30%EV -1.67%E -0.879%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.62%EV -8.91%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.78%E -2.60%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.93%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.59%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -13.57%E -8.13%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -16.50%E -4.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -18.81%E -5.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -19.94%E -5.70%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -22.22%E -6.54%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |