مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lillestrom v Sandefjord

البداية: 2026-05-16 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lillestrom (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.75%1.93السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.879%
Kelly -1.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.31%51.77%51.63%52.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.801.801.9059.88%55.57%55.56%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sandefjord (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.88%4.37السعر العادل
EV +2.94%
الأفضلية +0.653%
Kelly +0.840%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.93%22.86%22.99%25.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.893.804.5029.41%25.73%26.32%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.37%3.94السعر العادل
EV -3.59%
الأفضلية -0.944%
Kelly -1.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.36%25.37%25.38%26.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.69%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 14:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:59
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.61%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.24%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.05%EV -5.87%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 13:59
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.45%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.44%EV -3.24%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.11%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:00
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.30%EV -1.67%E -0.879%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.62%EV -8.91%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:59
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 14:00
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.78%E -2.60%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 14:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 13:58
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:00
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.93%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.59%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:59
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -13.57%E -8.13%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 14:00
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:58
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 13:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -16.50%E -4.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -18.81%E -5.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -19.94%E -5.70%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 14:00
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -22.22%E -6.54%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13%2.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%2.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%2.9%2026-05-16 14:00