La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lillestrom v Sandefjord
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 51.75%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.31%51.77%51.63%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.801.801.9059.88%55.57%55.56%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sandefjord (Visitante)
Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +0.653%
Kelly +0.840%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.93%22.86%22.99%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.893.804.5029.41%25.73%26.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.37%3.94momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -0.944%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.36%25.37%25.38%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.69%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.94%E +0.653%K +0.840%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.61%EV -2.71%E -1.44%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.24%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV +1.80%E +0.404%K +0.521%G +0.009% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.05%EV -5.87%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.88%E -4.43%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.64%E -0.380%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.45%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.44%EV -3.24%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.11%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.92%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.30%EV -1.67%E -0.879%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -5.30%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.62%EV -8.91%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -4.78%E -2.60%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.93%E -3.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.59%E -0.944%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -7.36%E -4.11%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -13.57%E -8.13%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.85%E -3.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.99%E -6.39%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.47%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.26%EV -11.50%E -6.73%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -8.92%E -5.07%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -16.50%E -4.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.43%E -5.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -10.47%E -6.05%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -18.81%E -5.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -4.26%E -2.30%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -5.29%E -2.89%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -7.39%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -6.33%E -3.50%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -19.94%E -5.70%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.66%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -8.40%E -4.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -22.22%E -6.54%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.20%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.56% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.13% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |