Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Final: Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prediction 66.06%1.51fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -9.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.92%65.92%66.13%67.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.31%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visit)

Prediction 14.40%6.95fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 7.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.21%14.49%14.35%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.296.407.0418.18%15.90%15.63%14.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.077%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.62%19.58%19.52%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.644.705.1026.67%21.55%21.28%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 66.06%; Kristiansund BK (Visit): 14.40%; Draw: 19.55%. For Kristiansund BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.38%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.69%EV +1.35%E +0.191%K +0.223%G +0.003%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.93%EV -0.513%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.50%E -6.93%K -25.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.769%E +0.110%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.97%EV +0.050%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.04%EV -0.317%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 15:30
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.92%EV -1.39%E -0.203%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.42%EV -4.03%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -2.83%E -0.419%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -3.55%E -0.530%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 16:50
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:00
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:29
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:50
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.63%EV -7.29%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.50%EV -5.59%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 16:40
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.88%E -3.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:10
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:19
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 16:37
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 16:10
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 16:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.28%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -26.70%E -7.12%K -9.71%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.18%E -5.88%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.10%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -13.02%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 16:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-20 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%1.3%2026-05-20 16:40