La scuola delle quote

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK

Inizio: 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Finale: Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lillestrom (Casa)

Previsione 66.06%1.51quota equa
EV -4.21%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -9.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.92%65.92%66.13%67.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.31%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kristiansund BK (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.40%6.95quota equa
EV +1.35%
Vantaggio +0.191%
Kelly +0.223%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.21%14.49%14.35%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.296.407.0418.18%15.90%15.63%14.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.55%5.12quota equa
EV -0.317%
Vantaggio -0.062%
Kelly -0.077%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.62%19.58%19.52%22.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.644.705.1026.67%21.55%21.28%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.38%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.69%EV +1.35%E +0.191%K +0.223%G +0.003%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.93%EV -0.513%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 16:50
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.50%E -6.93%K -25.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.769%E +0.110%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:49
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.97%EV +0.050%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.04%EV -0.317%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 15:30
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.92%EV -1.39%E -0.203%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.42%EV -4.03%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 16:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -2.83%E -0.419%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 16:10
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -3.55%E -0.530%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 16:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 16:50
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:50
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.63%EV -7.29%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.50%EV -5.59%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 16:40
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.88%E -3.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:20
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:10
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:19
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 16:37
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 16:10
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 16:29
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 16:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 16:40
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 15:40
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.28%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -26.70%E -7.12%K -9.71%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.18%E -5.88%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.10%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -13.02%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 16:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 16:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-20 15:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%1.3%2026-05-20 16:40