La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 66.06%1.51momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -9.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.92%65.92%66.13%67.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.31%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kristiansund BK (Visitante)
Predicción 14.40%6.95momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.191%
Kelly +0.223%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.21%14.49%14.35%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.296.407.0418.18%15.90%15.63%14.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.55%5.12momio equitativo
EV -0.317%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.077%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.62%19.58%19.52%22.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.644.705.1026.67%21.55%21.28%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.38%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.69%EV +1.35%E +0.191%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.93%EV -0.513%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.50%E -6.93%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.769%E +0.110%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 16:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.97%EV +0.050%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.04%EV -0.317%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.92%EV -1.39%E -0.203%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.42%EV -4.03%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -2.83%E -0.419%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -3.55%E -0.530%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.63%EV -7.29%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.50%EV -5.59%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.88%E -3.39%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:19 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 16:37 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.28%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -26.70%E -7.12%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.18%E -5.88%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.10%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -13.02%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-20 15:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 1.3% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |