L’École des cotes

Lillestrom v Kristiansund BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Score final : Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lillestrom (Local)

Prévision 66.06%1.51cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.91%
Kelly -9.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.92%65.92%66.13%67.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.401.401.4574.07%71.31%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.40%6.95cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.191%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 7.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.21%14.49%14.35%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.296.407.0418.18%15.90%15.63%14.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.55%5.12cote équitable
EV -0.317%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.077%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.62%19.58%19.52%22.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.644.705.1026.67%21.55%21.28%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.38%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.69%EV +1.35%E +0.191%K +0.223%G +0.003%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.93%EV -0.513%E -0.101%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 16:50
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.50%E -6.93%K -25.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.769%E +0.110%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:49
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.97%EV +0.050%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.04%EV -0.317%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 15:30
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.92%EV -1.39%E -0.203%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.42%EV -4.03%E -0.821%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 16:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.60%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -2.11%E -0.310%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -2.83%E -0.419%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 16:10
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -3.55%E -0.530%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.24%EV -4.99%E -0.756%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 16:10
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 16:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 16:50
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.43%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:50
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.63%EV -7.29%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.50%EV -5.59%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 16:40
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.87%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.88%E -3.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:20
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:10
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:19
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -10.03%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.20%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 16:37
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.19%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 16:10
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 16:29
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 16:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 16:40
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 15:40
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.28%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -13.63%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -26.70%E -7.12%K -9.71%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.18%E -5.88%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.10%EV -10.82%E -8.02%K -30.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -16.51%E -2.85%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -13.02%E -2.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 16:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.37%E -3.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 16:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.82%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-20 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-05-20 16:50
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%1.3%2026-05-20 16:40