The School of Odds

Lillestrom v KFUM

2026-07-18 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lillestrom (Local)

Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.40%53.66%53.57%54.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7862%59%59%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

KFUM (Visit)

Prediction 21.97%4.55fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%22.00%22.03%23.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.704.154.204.5027%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%24.34%24.40%25.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.753.9429%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 12:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.49%E -2.53%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 11:59
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.70%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -3.96%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 10:15
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.71%E -4.48%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 10:14
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.71%E -4.48%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 10:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.25%E -4.82%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 10:13
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -8.25%E -4.82%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 11:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.25%E -4.82%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 10:15
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -8.25%E -4.82%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 10:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 10:14
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 10:43
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 10:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 11:59
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -9.32%E -5.52%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -10.40%E -6.23%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 10:13
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -10.93%E -6.59%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.32%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-13 10:15
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -11.47%E -6.95%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.46%E -3.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-13 10:14
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.47%EV -12.01%E -7.32%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -12.56%E -3.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.50%EV -12.73%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 10:14
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.24%EV -13.08%E -8.07%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -14.32%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-13 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.61%EV -13.08%E -8.07%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.04%EV -18.72%E -5.06%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-13 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%9.2%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%9.2%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%9.3%2026-07-13 12:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%10.6%2026-07-13 12:00