Language:English
Lillestrom v KFUM
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lillestrom (Local)
Prediction 58.12%1.72fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.86%58.12%58.11%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.46%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KFUM (Visit)
Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +3.88%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.871%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 5.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%19.08%19.11%20.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.754.705.4523.26%21.05%21.28%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.82%4.38fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%22.81%22.78%23.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.973.954.3326.67%25.16%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 58.12%; KFUM (Visit): 19.06%; Draw: 22.82%. For KFUM (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.59%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +3.88%E +0.711%K +0.871%G +0.034% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -1.85%E -0.431%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +1.02%E +0.192%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +1.02%E +0.192%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.58%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.063%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -1.17%E -0.270%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.80%E -0.548%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 13:53 |
| betano_uk | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:10 |
| GTbets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.39%EV -8.89%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 12:05 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.20%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -7.56%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.21%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -9.34%E -5.99%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.42%EV -11.37%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 13:34 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.14%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.34%E -5.99%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -17.09%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -17.47%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.50%E -6.82%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -18.04%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.07% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |