مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lillestrom v KFUM

البداية: 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lillestrom (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.12%1.72السعر العادل
EV -4.11%
الأفضلية -2.49%
Kelly -6.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.86%58.12%58.11%59.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.46%62.50%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

KFUM (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.06%5.25السعر العادل
EV +3.88%
الأفضلية +0.711%
Kelly +0.871%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.82%19.08%19.11%20.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.754.705.4523.26%21.05%21.28%18.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.82%4.38السعر العادل
EV -1.17%
الأفضلية -0.270%
Kelly -0.351%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.04%22.81%22.78%23.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.753.973.954.3326.67%25.16%25.32%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.59%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +3.88%E +0.711%K +0.871%G +0.034%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -1.85%E -0.431%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 13:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +1.02%E +0.192%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +1.02%E +0.192%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.58%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.063%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -1.17%E -0.270%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 13:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.80%E -0.548%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:55
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 09:59
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:40
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:53
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:54
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:55
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:55
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:45
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:45
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 12:10
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.39%EV -8.89%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 12:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 13:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.20%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -7.56%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 13:55
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 13:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 13:15
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.21%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:54
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -9.34%E -5.99%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.42%EV -11.37%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 13:34
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 13:15
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 13:45
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 12:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 13:15
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.14%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 13:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.34%E -5.99%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -17.09%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 12:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -17.47%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 13:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.50%E -6.82%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -18.04%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 13:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%2.6%2026-07-18 13:55