Школа коэффициентов

Lillestrom v KFUM

Начало: 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC

Итог: Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lillestrom (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.12%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.11%
Преимущество -2.49%
Kelly -6.32%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.86%58.12%58.11%59.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.46%62.50%60.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

KFUM (Гости)

Прогноз 19.06%5.25справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.88%
Преимущество +0.711%
Kelly +0.871%
Рост +0.034%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.82%19.08%19.11%20.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.304.754.705.4523.26%21.05%21.28%18.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.82%4.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.17%
Преимущество -0.270%
Kelly -0.351%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.04%22.81%22.78%23.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.753.973.954.3326.67%25.16%25.32%23.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.59%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +3.88%E +0.711%K +0.871%G +0.034%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -1.85%E -0.431%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 13:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +1.02%E +0.192%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV +1.02%E +0.192%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.58%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV +0.063%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -1.17%E -0.270%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 13:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.50%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.80%E -0.548%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:55
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 09:59
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:40
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:53
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:54
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.70%E -0.940%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:55
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:55
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:45
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 13:45
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.51%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 12:10
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 56.85%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.39%EV -8.89%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 12:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.14%E -0.985%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 13:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.20%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -7.56%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 13:55
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 13:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 13:15
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.21%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:54
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -9.34%E -5.99%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.42%EV -11.37%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 13:34
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 12:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 13:15
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.27%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 13:45
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 12:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -8.18%E -5.18%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.23%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 13:15
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.02%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.14%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 13:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.34%E -5.99%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -17.09%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.41%E -3.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 12:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.08%E -7.24%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -17.47%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.70%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 13:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.50%E -6.82%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -18.04%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -10.98%E -2.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%2.6%2026-07-18 13:55