Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lillestrom v Bodø/Glimt

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 17:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prediction 30.02%3.33fair odd
EV +0.558%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%29.96%29.93%31.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.113.103.3537.74%32.13%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bodø/Glimt (Visit)

Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.55%46.34%46.22%48.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.951.952.0855.25%51.36%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.332%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%23.70%23.85%25.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.813.804.1530.30%26.22%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lillestrom (Local): 30.02%; Bodø/Glimt (Visit): 46.22%; Draw: 23.76%. For Lillestrom (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.558%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:09
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:10
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -0.943%E -0.286%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 18:09
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.01%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.62%EV -3.99%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -1.38%E -0.332%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -16.35%E -9.03%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 18:09
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -4.23%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:35
GTbets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -2.80%E -0.685%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:34
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 03:24
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:35
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 08:09
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.626%K -0.828%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:23
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 22:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:35
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:24
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:34
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:05
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 08:39
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:33
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:34
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:25
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -8.51%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.07%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 12:43
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -13.55%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -21.58%E -6.54%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.88%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 11:34
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.42%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 30.98%EV -16.55%E -5.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.09%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 11:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.94%EV -20.45%E -7.72%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.55%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45