La scuola delle quote

Lillestrom v Bodø/Glimt

Inizio: 2026-04-26 17:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lillestrom (Casa)

Previsione 30.02%3.33quota equa
EV +0.558%
Vantaggio +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.05%29.96%29.93%31.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.653.113.103.3537.74%32.13%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bodø/Glimt (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.22%2.16quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -3.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.55%46.34%46.22%48.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.951.952.0855.25%51.36%51.28%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.76%4.21quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.332%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.38%23.70%23.85%25.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.813.804.1530.30%26.22%26.32%24.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:09
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:10
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -0.943%E -0.286%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 18:09
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.01%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.62%EV -3.99%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 19:35
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -1.38%E -0.332%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 19:55
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -16.35%E -9.03%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 18:09
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -4.23%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:35
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -2.80%E -0.685%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:34
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:20
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 03:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:35
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 08:09
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.626%K -0.828%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:23
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 22:25
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:25
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:40
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:35
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:24
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:34
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:05
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 08:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:33
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:34
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:25
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -8.51%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.07%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 12:43
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 11:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -13.55%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -21.58%E -6.54%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.88%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 11:34
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.42%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 12:04
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 30.98%EV -16.55%E -5.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.09%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 11:33
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.94%EV -20.45%E -7.72%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.55%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 11:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45