L’École des cotes

Lillestrom v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 17:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lillestrom (Local)

Prévision 30.02%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.558%
Avantage +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%29.96%29.93%31.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.113.103.3537.74%32.13%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.22%2.16cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.55%46.34%46.22%48.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.951.952.0855.25%51.36%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.76%4.21cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.437%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%23.70%23.85%25.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.813.804.1530.30%26.22%26.32%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:09
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:10
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -0.943%E -0.286%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 18:09
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.01%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.62%EV -3.99%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 19:35
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:54
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -1.38%E -0.332%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 19:55
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -16.35%E -9.03%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 18:09
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -4.23%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:14
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:35
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -2.80%E -0.685%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:34
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:20
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 03:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:35
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 08:09
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.626%K -0.828%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:23
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 22:25
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 22:25
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:40
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:35
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:24
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:34
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:05
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 08:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:33
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:34
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 22:25
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -8.51%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.07%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 12:43
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 11:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -13.55%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -21.58%E -6.54%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.88%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 11:34
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.42%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 12:04
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 30.98%EV -16.55%E -5.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.09%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 11:33
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.94%EV -20.45%E -7.72%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.55%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45