La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lillestrom v Bodø/Glimt
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 30.02%3.33momio equitativo
EV +0.558%
Ventaja +0.166%
Kelly +0.237%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%29.96%29.93%31.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.113.103.3537.74%32.13%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)
Predicción 46.22%2.16momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.55%46.34%46.22%48.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.951.952.0855.25%51.36%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.76%4.21momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.38%23.70%23.85%25.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.813.804.1530.30%26.22%26.32%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.35%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +0.558%E +0.166%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -13.57%E -7.26%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -0.943%E -0.286%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.01%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.62%EV -3.99%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -2.44%E -0.752%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.14%EV -1.38%E -0.332%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -16.35%E -9.03%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -4.23%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| GTbets | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -2.80%E -0.685%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.626%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 22:23 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.88%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 18:05 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -8.51%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.45%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.07%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -6.18%E -3.04%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.88%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -13.55%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -21.58%E -6.54%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.88%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.42%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 30.98%EV -16.55%E -5.95%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.09%EV -11.72%E -6.14%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.94%EV -20.45%E -7.72%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.55%EV -12.19%E -6.41%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |