Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 1–3 Rosenborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prediction 17.43%5.74fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +0.912%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.83%17.45%17.46%19.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.155.206.0022.22%19.42%19.23%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosenborg (Visit)

Prediction 62.13%1.61fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.21%62.02%62.17%63.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.501.5770.42%66.41%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV -0.215%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%20.53%20.36%22.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.404.8825.00%22.72%22.73%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kristiansund BK (Local): 17.43%; Rosenborg (Visit): 62.13%; Draw: 20.45%. For Kristiansund BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +4.56%E +0.760%K +0.912%G +0.042%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:09
NordicBet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.11%EV +1.95%E +0.333%K +0.401%G +0.008%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +1.07%E +0.185%K +0.224%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:05
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.668%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 09:50
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -2.41%E -0.430%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 07:45
1xBet🎯5.59I 17.89%NM 17.09%EV -2.58%E -0.462%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.45%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.46%EV -4.51%E -0.966%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:29
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 09:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 14:05
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -9.30%E -6.37%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 09:55
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:25
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:30
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Pinnacle🎯5.47I 18.28%NM 17.56%EV -4.68%E -0.855%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.68%EV -0.215%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.08%EV -5.02%E -0.922%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -6.96%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetAnything🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 10:26
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 05:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.78%E -8.30%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:10
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -2.87%E -0.605%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 05:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 05:04
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.61%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 05:10
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:21
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 05:05
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.22%E -3.63%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.62%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 10:21
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.38%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 10:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%4.4%2026-09-18 15:30