L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Kristiansund BK 1–3 Rosenborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prévision 17.43%5.74cote équitable
EV +4.56%
Avantage +0.760%
Kelly +0.912%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%17.45%17.46%19.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.155.206.0022.22%19.42%19.23%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.13%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.21%62.02%62.17%63.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.501.5770.42%66.41%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.45%4.89cote équitable
EV -0.215%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.54%20.53%20.36%22.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.404.8825.00%22.72%22.73%20.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kristiansund BK (Local) : 17.43% ; Rosenborg (Visiteur) : 62.13% ; Match nul : 20.45%. Pour Kristiansund BK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.74. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +4.56%E +0.760%K +0.912%G +0.042%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:09
NordicBet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.11%EV +1.95%E +0.333%K +0.401%G +0.008%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +1.07%E +0.185%K +0.224%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:05
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.668%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 09:50
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -2.41%E -0.430%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 07:45
1xBet🎯5.59I 17.89%NM 17.09%EV -2.58%E -0.462%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.45%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.46%EV -4.51%E -0.966%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:29
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 09:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 14:05
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -9.30%E -6.37%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 09:55
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:25
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:30
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Pinnacle🎯5.47I 18.28%NM 17.56%EV -4.68%E -0.855%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.68%EV -0.215%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.08%EV -5.02%E -0.922%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -6.96%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetAnything🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 10:26
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 05:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.78%E -8.30%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:10
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -2.87%E -0.605%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 05:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 05:04
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.61%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 05:10
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:21
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 05:05
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.22%E -3.63%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.62%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 10:21
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.38%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 10:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%4.4%2026-09-18 15:30