La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 1–3 Rosenborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 17.43%5.74momio equitativo
EV +4.56%
Ventaja +0.760%
Kelly +0.912%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%17.45%17.46%19.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.155.206.0022.22%19.42%19.23%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 62.13%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.21%62.02%62.17%63.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.501.5770.42%66.41%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.45%4.89momio equitativo
EV -0.215%
Ventaja -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.54%20.53%20.36%22.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.404.404.8825.00%22.72%22.73%20.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kristiansund BK (Local): 17.43%; Rosenborg (Visitante): 62.13%; Empate: 20.45%. Para Kristiansund BK (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.74. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.56%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +4.56%E +0.760%K +0.912%G +0.042%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:09
NordicBet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.11%EV +1.95%E +0.333%K +0.401%G +0.008%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +1.07%E +0.185%K +0.224%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:05
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.668%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 09:50
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -2.41%E -0.430%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 07:45
1xBet🎯5.59I 17.89%NM 17.09%EV -2.58%E -0.462%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.45%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.46%EV -4.51%E -0.966%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:29
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 09:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 14:05
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -9.30%E -6.37%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 09:55
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:25
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:30
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Pinnacle🎯5.47I 18.28%NM 17.56%EV -4.68%E -0.855%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.68%EV -0.215%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.08%EV -5.02%E -0.922%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -6.96%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetAnything🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 10:26
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 05:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.78%E -8.30%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:10
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -2.87%E -0.605%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 05:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 05:04
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.61%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 05:10
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:21
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 05:05
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.22%E -3.63%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.62%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 10:21
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.38%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 10:21
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%4.4%2026-09-18 15:30