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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kristiansund BK v Rosenborg

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 1–3 Rosenborg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Previsão 17.43%5.74odd justa
EV +4.56%
Vantagem +0.760%
Kelly +0.912%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.83%17.45%17.46%19.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.155.206.0022.22%19.42%19.23%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Previsão 62.13%1.61odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.21%62.02%62.17%63.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.511.501.5770.42%66.41%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.45%4.89odd justa
EV -0.215%
Vantagem -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.54%20.53%20.36%22.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.404.404.8825.00%22.72%22.73%20.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kristiansund BK (Local): 17.43%; Rosenborg (Visitante): 62.13%; Empate: 20.45%. Para Kristiansund BK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.74. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.56%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +4.56%E +0.760%K +0.912%G +0.042%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 10:09
NordicBet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.11%EV +1.95%E +0.333%K +0.401%G +0.008%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +1.07%E +0.185%K +0.224%G +0.002%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:05
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.668%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 09:50
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -2.41%E -0.430%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 07:45
1xBet🎯5.59I 17.89%NM 17.09%EV -2.58%E -0.462%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.45%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.46%EV -4.51%E -0.966%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:29
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -1.85%E -0.386%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 05:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 09:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 14:05
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -9.30%E -6.37%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 09:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 09:55
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:25
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:30
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.15%E -0.755%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Pinnacle🎯5.47I 18.28%NM 17.56%EV -4.68%E -0.855%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.68%EV -0.215%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.08%EV -5.02%E -0.922%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -6.96%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:24
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.90%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.94%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetAnything🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -7.64%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -3.90%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.51%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 10:26
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 05:10
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -11.12%E -2.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.78%E -8.30%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.05%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:10
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -2.87%E -0.605%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 05:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 05:04
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.87%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.61%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.48%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.99%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 05:10
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:21
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.09%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -12.07%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:21
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 10:26
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -16.35%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.29%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 05:05
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.22%E -3.63%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.46%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.47%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 10:26
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -19.84%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.62%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -16.16%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 10:21
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 10:26
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.58%E -4.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.38%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.21%E -4.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 10:21
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.15%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%2.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%4.4%2026-09-18 15:30