The School of Odds
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KFUM v Aalesund

2026-09-13 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KFUM (Local)

Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%41.23%40.92%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.162.122.3450.76%46.39%47.17%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 34.10%2.93fair odd
EV +9.12%
Edge +2.85%
Kelly +4.15%
Growth +0.378%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%33.65%34.16%34.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.862.783.2040.00%34.95%35.97%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.02%4.00fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.12%24.93%26.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.8630.30%27.90%27.78%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KFUM (Local): 40.88%; Aalesund (Visit): 34.10%; Draw: 25.02%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.20, producing a positive expected value of +9.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -17.43%E -8.63%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV +5.71%E +1.84%K +2.72%G +0.155%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -17.43%E -8.63%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV +5.71%E +1.84%K +2.72%G +0.155%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -18.25%E -9.12%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV +4.01%E +1.31%K +1.95%G +0.078%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -19.06%E -9.63%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV +2.30%E +0.768%K +1.15%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -19.06%E -9.63%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV +2.30%E +0.768%K +1.15%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.72%EV -19.47%E -9.88%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +2.30%E +0.768%K +1.15%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.81%E -0.987%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.81%E -0.987%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:40
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.77%EV -4.35%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.19%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.04%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -5.16%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -3.42%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.39%E -2.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.18%EV -6.90%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 15:35
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.25%E -4.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 15:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.39%EV -13.34%E -6.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -11.67%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 15:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.96%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.75%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%16.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Arbitrage (8 combinations) +0.11%1xBet 2.34 (42.8%) / BetRivers 3.20 (31.3%) / Pinnacle 3.86 (25.9%)Show all 8 combinations
KFUM (Local)Aalesund (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Casumo🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)betPARX🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%