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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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KFUM v Aalesund

2026-09-13 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KFUM (主队)

预测 40.88%2.45公平赔率
EV -4.35%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -3.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.34

博彩公司预测分布
40.35%41.23%40.92%44.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.162.122.3450.76%46.39%47.17%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aalesund (客队)

预测 34.10%2.93公平赔率
EV +9.12%
优势 +2.85%
Kelly +4.15%
增长率 +0.378%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.18%33.65%34.16%34.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.862.783.2040.00%34.95%35.97%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.02%4.00公平赔率
EV -3.42%
优势 -0.885%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.86

博彩公司预测分布
24.24%25.12%24.93%26.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.583.603.8630.30%27.90%27.78%25.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：KFUM (主队)：40.88%；Aalesund (客队)：34.10%；平局：25.02%。 对于“Aalesund (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.93。 有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.20，由此产生+9.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -14.98%E -7.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV +9.12%E +2.85%K +4.15%G +0.378%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -17.43%E -8.63%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV +5.71%E +1.84%K +2.72%G +0.155%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -17.43%E -8.63%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV +5.71%E +1.84%K +2.72%G +0.155%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -18.25%E -9.12%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV +4.01%E +1.31%K +1.95%G +0.078%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -13.67%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -19.06%E -9.63%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV +2.30%E +0.768%K +1.15%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -19.06%E -9.63%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV +2.30%E +0.768%K +1.15%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.72%EV -19.47%E -9.88%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +2.30%E +0.768%K +1.15%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.81%E -0.987%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.81%E -0.987%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:40
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.77%EV -4.35%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.19%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.04%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -5.16%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.20%E -1.87%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -3.42%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.22%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -6.39%E -2.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.18%EV -6.90%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.93%E -2.94%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.42%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 15:35
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.25%E -4.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.63%E -3.63%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 15:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.17%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.39%EV -13.34%E -6.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -11.67%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 15:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -11.34%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.22%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.96%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -13.04%E -5.11%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.75%E -5.90%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.17%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 15:30
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%16.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
套利（8 种组合） +0.11%1xBet 2.34 (42.8%) / BetRivers 3.20 (31.3%) / Pinnacle 3.86 (25.9%)显示全部 8 种组合
KFUM (主队)Aalesund (客队)平局利润率
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)BetRivers🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Casumo🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)betPARX🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.20 (31.3%)Pinnacle🎯 3.86 (25.9%)+0.108%