Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KFUM v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Score final : KFUM 2–1 Aalesund

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KFUM (Local)

Prévision 38.78%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.900%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.75%38.84%38.73%40.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.382.5245.45%42.30%42.02%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.96%2.78cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.41%35.88%35.94%36.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.582.592.7042.02%38.70%38.54%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV -0.214%
Avantage -0.054%
Kelly -0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.10%25.28%25.33%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.613.603.9529.41%27.73%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KFUM (Local) : 38.78% ; Aalesund (Visiteur) : 35.96% ; Match nul : 25.26%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.96. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.95, pour une espérance de -0.214% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.75%EV -2.27%E -0.900%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -7.23%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:46
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.75%EV -2.27%E -0.900%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -7.23%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:46
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.75%EV -2.27%E -0.900%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -7.23%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%EV -3.04%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.214%E -0.054%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 10:45
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.36%EV -4.60%E -1.87%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.00%EV -3.28%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV -0.720%E -0.183%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 14:45
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.17%EV -6.16%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.31%EV -5.77%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 06:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:36
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:45
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:46
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -5.37%E -2.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -4.76%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:30
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:34
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 06:40
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 14:54
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -7.31%E -3.06%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -5.52%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:05
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 06:31
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -7.79%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 14:36
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.70%E -3.23%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 06:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.61%EV -8.47%E -3.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.32%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:36
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.86%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:04
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.86%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.86%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:36
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.86%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:41
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 14:05
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.35%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.35%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.32%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 12:01
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 06:25
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 06:25
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 06:25
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -11.58%E -5.08%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.04%EV -13.52%E -6.06%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -9.56%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -14.68%E -6.67%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.44%EV -14.68%E -6.67%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.46%EV -14.43%E -6.06%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 14:50
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55