The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HamKam v Molde

2026-09-13 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam (Local)

Prediction 22.63%4.42fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%22.83%22.46%24.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.893.804.2928.17%25.70%26.32%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.10%53.73%54.00%54.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.731.8162.11%57.78%57.80%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%23.44%23.54%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.904.1527.78%25.81%25.64%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HamKam (Local): 22.63%; Molde (Visit): 53.95%; Draw: 23.42%. For Molde (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -2.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.19%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.71%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV -3.50%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:25
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 15:30
1xBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.97%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%EV -2.80%E -0.674%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 16:05
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.14%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 17:45
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:20
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 17:44
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 16:15
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 22.28%EV -11.07%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.05%EV -12.60%E -7.78%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 15:29
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -11.52%E -7.03%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%EV -13.14%E -8.16%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.31%EV -12.60%E -7.78%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -17.41%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -17.41%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -12.60%E -7.78%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-06 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -19.67%E -5.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -19.67%E -5.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -19.67%E -5.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 22.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%16.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50