Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam v Molde

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Final: HamKam 1–5 Molde

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam (Local)

Prediction 21.21%4.71fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%21.24%21.17%22.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.264.204.6526.32%23.45%23.81%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -0.716%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.33%56.98%57.08%58.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.631.7464.52%61.00%61.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -0.041%
Edge -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%21.78%21.75%23.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.144.104.6025.97%24.14%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HamKam (Local): 21.21%; Molde (Visit): 57.06%; Draw: 21.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.602. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.600, with an expected value of -0.041%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -1.37%E -0.295%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV -0.041%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 13:26
Pinnacle🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.87%EV -2.01%E -0.435%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -2.00%E -0.443%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 14:45
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 13:45
1xBet🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 20.74%EV -2.86%E -0.624%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.54%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.72%EV -9.17%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:50
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:36
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:31
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 07:40
GTbets🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -0.716%E -0.411%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -7.43%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 07:40
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:00
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 04:50
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:45
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.21%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:00
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:40
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:39
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 06:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:05
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:50
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.77%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -11.99%E -2.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77%EV -10.99%E -7.04%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 04:50
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 06:15
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:50
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.40%E -5.11%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:41
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55