Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HamKam v Molde

2026-09-13 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HamKam (Local)

Previsão 22.63%4.42odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -0.682%
Kelly -0.890%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.99%22.83%22.46%24.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.893.804.2928.17%25.70%26.32%23.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Molde (Visitante)

Previsão 53.95%1.85odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.10%53.73%54.00%54.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.731.731.8162.11%57.78%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.42%4.27odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -0.888%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.67%23.44%23.54%24.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.873.904.1527.78%25.81%25.64%24.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: HamKam (Local): 22.63%; Molde (Visitante): 53.95%; Empate: 23.42%. Para Molde (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.85. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.81, com valor esperado de -2.35%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.19%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.71%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.10%EV -3.50%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:25
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 15:30
1xBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%EV -6.09%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.97%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%EV -2.80%E -0.674%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 16:05
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.23%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -8.36%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.14%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 17:45
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:20
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 17:44
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.82%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 16:15
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.49%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 22.28%EV -11.07%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.05%EV -12.60%E -7.78%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 15:29
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -11.52%E -7.03%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%EV -13.14%E -8.16%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -16.28%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.31%EV -12.60%E -7.78%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -17.41%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -17.41%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -12.60%E -7.78%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-06 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -19.67%E -5.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -19.67%E -5.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -19.67%E -5.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 22.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.96%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%16.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 17:50