Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HamKam v Molde

Início: 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Final: HamKam 1–5 Molde

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HamKam (Local)

Previsão 21.21%4.71odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.295%
Kelly -0.376%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.00%21.24%21.17%22.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.264.204.6526.32%23.45%23.81%21.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Molde (Visitante)

Previsão 57.06%1.75odd justa
EV -0.716%
Vantagem -0.411%
Kelly -0.967%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.33%56.98%57.08%58.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.631.7464.52%61.00%61.35%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.73%4.60odd justa
EV -0.041%
Vantagem -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.69%21.78%21.75%23.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.144.104.6025.97%24.14%24.39%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: HamKam (Local): 21.21%; Molde (Visitante): 57.06%; Empate: 21.73%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.602. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.600, com valor esperado de -0.041%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -1.37%E -0.295%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV -0.041%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 13:26
Pinnacle🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.87%EV -2.01%E -0.435%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -2.00%E -0.443%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 14:45
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 13:45
1xBet🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 20.74%EV -2.86%E -0.624%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.54%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.72%EV -9.17%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:50
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:36
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:31
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 07:40
GTbets🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -0.716%E -0.411%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -7.43%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 07:40
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:00
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 04:50
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:45
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.21%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:00
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:40
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:39
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 06:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:05
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:50
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.77%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -11.99%E -2.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77%EV -10.99%E -7.04%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 04:50
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 06:15
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:50
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.40%E -5.11%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:41
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55