Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HamKam v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Score final : HamKam 1–5 Molde

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HamKam (Local)

Prévision 21.21%4.71cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.376%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%21.24%21.17%22.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.264.204.6526.32%23.45%23.81%21.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.06%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.716%
Avantage -0.411%
Kelly -0.967%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.33%56.98%57.08%58.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.631.7464.52%61.00%61.35%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV -0.041%
Avantage -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%21.78%21.75%23.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.144.104.6025.97%24.14%24.39%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : HamKam (Local) : 21.21% ; Molde (Visiteur) : 57.06% ; Match nul : 21.73%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.602. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.600, pour une espérance de -0.041% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -1.37%E -0.295%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%EV -0.041%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 13:26
Pinnacle🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.87%EV -2.01%E -0.435%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.74%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -2.00%E -0.443%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 14:45
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -9.82%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -2.43%E -0.529%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 13:45
1xBet🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 20.74%EV -2.86%E -0.624%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.54%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.72%EV -9.17%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:50
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:36
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:31
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.56%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 07:40
GTbets🎯4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -0.716%E -0.411%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -7.43%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 07:40
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:00
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.91%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.68%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.39%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 04:50
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -7.74%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:45
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.21%E -0.492%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:00
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:40
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:39
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 06:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.73%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.86%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 06:15
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:05
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:50
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.77%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -11.99%E -2.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -10.92%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77%EV -10.99%E -7.04%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 04:50
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -13.04%E -3.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 06:15
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 06:15
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 04:50
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.22%E -4.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.34%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 06:15
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -19.40%E -5.11%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:41
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-09-13 14:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-09-13 14:55