Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.31
assuming max odds 3.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HamKam (Local): 45.09%; Aalesund (Visit): 29.98%; Draw: 24.93%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.31, with an expected value of -0.761%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -4.66%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -2.56%E -0.788%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -2.78%E -0.713%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -0.761%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.87%EV -8.52%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -1.96%E -0.600%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.66%E -3.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.66%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.77%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.38%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.69%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.92%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -8.92%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.78%E -0.713%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 14:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.55%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -11.17%E -5.67%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -11.17%E -5.67%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.18%EV -11.62%E -5.93%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.18%EV -11.62%E -5.93%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%EV -12.07%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.21%EV -14.78%E -7.82%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67%EV -13.65%E -4.74%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -15.68%E -8.39%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -16.05%E -5.73%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-09 14:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
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