The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

HamKam v Aalesund

2026-08-09 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam (Local)

Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV +0.079%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.40%45.27%45.57%47.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.082.2051.55%47.94%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 29.15%3.43fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%29.40%29.02%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.003.2935.71%32.79%33.33%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.33%25.41%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.553.8429.85%27.92%28.17%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HamKam (Local): 45.49%; Aalesund (Visit): 29.15%; Draw: 25.36%. For HamKam (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.198. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.200, producing a positive expected value of +0.079%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:04
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:04
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.079%E +0.036%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -0.831%E -0.381%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -0.831%E -0.381%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:05
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -1.74%E -0.806%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.01%E -4.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -2.65%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.46%E -5.33%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -2.65%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.46%E -5.33%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.63%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 17:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.63%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 17:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 15:20
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.67%EV -4.93%E -2.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.32%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:14
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.26%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 15:14
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.11%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.01%E -4.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:20
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -5.84%E -2.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -16.92%E -5.94%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -15.05%E -4.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -2.62%E -0.682%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.63%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.46%E -5.33%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 15:24
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.14%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 15:15
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -7.65%E -3.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:14
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -7.65%E -3.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:15
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.11%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.63%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:14
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.63%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.63%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:24
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -18.38%E -6.56%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-02 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.01%E -4.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.76%EV -10.84%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.44%EV -13.13%E -4.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.29%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -11.29%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -11.09%E -3.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.05%E -4.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.48%EV -11.75%E -6.06%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -15.46%E -5.33%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -15.05%E -4.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%13.9%2026-08-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00