StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

HamKam v Aalesund

2026-08-09 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

HamKam (Heim)

Prognose 45.50%2.20faire Quote
EV +0.099%
Vorteil +0.045%
Kelly +0.082%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.40%45.32%45.56%47.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.942.082.062.2051.55%48.04%48.43%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.12%3.43faire Quote
EV -4.21%
Vorteil -1.28%
Kelly -1.84%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.66%29.38%29.02%31.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.053.003.2935.71%32.79%33.33%30.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.39%3.94faire Quote
EV -0.998%
Vorteil -0.256%
Kelly -0.344%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.80%25.30%25.42%26.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.353.593.553.9029.85%27.85%28.17%25.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: HamKam (Heim): 45.50%; Aalesund (Auswärts): 29.12%; Unentschieden: 25.39%. Für HamKam (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.198. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.200 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.099%.

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:04
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:04
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -0.811%E -0.372%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -0.811%E -0.372%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:05
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -1.72%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 17:25
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.67%EV -4.91%E -2.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.32%EV -4.30%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:14
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 15:14
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -17.02%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -14.96%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -6.27%E -3.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -2.52%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -0.998%E -0.256%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 21:08
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 21:10
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 21:09
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 15:24
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.58%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:10
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 21:09
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 15:15
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.09%E -4.01%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:14
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.76%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.44%EV -13.24%E -4.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.28%E -5.78%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -11.28%E -5.78%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.96%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 15:15
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -11.28%E -5.78%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.48%EV -11.73%E -6.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -14.96%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 15:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%13.9%2026-08-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00