Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HamKam v Aalesund

2026-08-09 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HamKam (Local)

Prévision 45.50%2.20cote équitable
EV +0.099%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.40%45.32%45.56%47.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.082.062.2051.55%48.04%48.43%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.12%3.43cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.66%29.38%29.02%31.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.003.2935.71%32.79%33.33%30.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV -0.998%
Avantage -0.256%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%25.30%25.42%26.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.593.553.9029.85%27.85%28.17%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : HamKam (Local) : 45.50% ; Aalesund (Visiteur) : 29.12% ; Match nul : 25.39%. Pour HamKam (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.198. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.200, pour une espérance positive de +0.099%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:04
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:04
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -0.811%E -0.372%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -0.811%E -0.372%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:05
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -1.72%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:05
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 17:25
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.67%EV -4.91%E -2.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.32%EV -4.30%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:14
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:10
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 15:14
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -17.02%E -5.97%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -14.96%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.24%EV -6.27%E -3.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -2.52%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -0.998%E -0.256%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 21:08
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 21:10
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 21:09
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 15:24
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.25%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.58%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:10
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 21:09
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 15:15
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.09%E -4.01%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:14
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -14.11%E -4.78%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.76%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.44%EV -13.24%E -4.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.28%E -5.78%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -11.28%E -5.78%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -11.20%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.96%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 15:15
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -11.28%E -5.78%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.48%EV -11.73%E -6.05%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -15.56%E -5.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -14.96%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 15:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%13.9%2026-08-02 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00