Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: HamKam (Local): 45.09%; Aalesund (Visitante): 29.98%; Empate: 24.93%. Para Aalesund (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.31, con un valor esperado de -0.761%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.05%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV -4.66%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -1.79%E -0.453%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -2.56%E -0.788%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -2.78%E -0.713%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.44%EV -5.76%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -0.761%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.87%EV -8.52%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -1.96%E -0.600%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.21%E -2.99%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.66%E -3.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.66%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.77%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -7.11%E -3.45%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.06%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.05%E -4.50%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.38%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.69%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.92%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -8.92%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.78%E -0.713%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 14:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.56%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.55%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -11.17%E -5.67%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.06%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -11.17%E -5.67%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.18%EV -11.62%E -5.93%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.18%EV -11.62%E -5.93%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%EV -12.07%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.06%E -3.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.21%EV -14.78%E -7.82%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67%EV -13.65%E -4.74%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -15.25%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -15.68%E -8.39%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -16.05%E -5.73%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-09 14:09 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |