The School of Odds

Fredrikstad FK v Lillestrom

2026-07-11 12:00 — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.7136.94%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.9034.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.14%3.018Min
34.86%2.869Max
33.85%2.954Mean
33.89%2.951Median
33.89%2.951IQM
33.74%2.964Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 33.89%

EV -1.73%Edge -0.597%Kelly -0.911%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Lillestrom (Visit)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.3542.62%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.4740.49%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.06%2.627Min
40.89%2.445Max
39.03%2.562Mean
38.87%2.572Median
38.89%2.572IQM
39.14%2.555Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.47 under the IQM model: 38.89%

EV -3.95%Edge -1.60%Kelly -2.69%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1531.75%Min
3.3929.51%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.97%3.850Min
28.11%3.558Max
27.12%3.687Mean
27.24%3.671Median
27.23%3.673IQM
27.11%3.688Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 27.23%

EV +0.745%Edge +0.201%Kelly +0.276%Growth +0.002%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFredrikstad FK (Local)Lillestrom (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet2.90I 34.48% NM 33.14%EV -1.73% E -0.597% K -0.911% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.89%EV -8.62% E -3.67% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.97%EV +0.745% E +0.201% K +0.276% G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-28 12:29
FanDuel2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -6.81% E -2.48% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -8.62% E -3.67% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -4.70% E -1.34% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 15:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36% NM 33.54%EV -6.81% E -2.48% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.10%EV -10.56% E -4.59% K -8.12% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -4.70% E -1.34% K -1.88% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-01 12:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36% NM 33.54%EV -6.81% E -2.48% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.10%EV -10.56% E -4.59% K -8.12% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -4.70% E -1.34% K -1.88% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 13:48
1xBet2.83I 35.34% NM 33.74%EV -4.10% E -1.45% K -2.24% G +0.000%2.47I 40.49% NM 38.66%EV -3.95% E -1.60% K -2.69% G +0.000%3.46I 28.90% NM 27.60%EV -5.79% E -1.67% K -2.35% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 08:05
Betsson2.78I 35.97% NM 34.01%EV -5.80% E -2.09% K -3.26% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.59%EV -4.73% E -1.93% K -3.26% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.40%EV -6.06% E -1.76% K -2.47% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 08:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97% NM 34.01%EV -5.80% E -2.09% K -3.26% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.59%EV -4.73% E -1.93% K -3.26% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.40%EV -6.06% E -1.76% K -2.47% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 08:00
SportsBet2.70I 37.04% NM 33.82%EV -8.51% E -3.15% K -5.01% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.71%EV -10.56% E -4.59% K -8.12% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.47%EV -6.06% E -1.76% K -2.47% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-01 12:10
GTbets2.78I 35.97% NM 33.93%EV -5.80% E -2.09% K -3.26% G +0.000%2.44I 40.98% NM 38.65%EV -5.12% E -2.10% K -3.55% G +0.000%3.44I 29.07% NM 27.42%EV -6.33% E -1.84% K -2.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 03:40
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09% NM 33.48%EV -3.43% E -1.20% K -1.85% G +0.000%2.47I 40.49% NM 38.63%EV -3.95% E -1.60% K -2.69% G +0.000%3.42I 29.24% NM 27.90%EV -6.88% E -2.01% K -2.84% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 09:05
Fanatics2.75I 36.36% NM 33.57%EV -6.81% E -2.48% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 39.28%EV -8.62% E -3.67% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.15%EV -7.42% E -2.18% K -3.09% G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04% NM 34.15%EV -8.51% E -3.15% K -5.01% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 38.74%EV -7.45% E -3.13% K -5.40% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.12%EV -7.42% E -2.18% K -3.09% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17% NM 34.37%EV -11.22% E -4.28% K -6.93% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.15%EV -10.56% E -4.59% K -8.12% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.48%EV -7.42% E -2.18% K -3.09% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-21 15:48
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10% NM 33.68%EV -6.14% E -2.22% K -3.47% G +0.000%2.41I 41.49% NM 38.71%EV -6.28% E -2.61% K -4.46% G +0.000%3.38I 29.59% NM 27.60%EV -7.97% E -2.36% K -3.35% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-03 07:59
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74% NM 34.26%EV -10.20% E -3.85% K -6.18% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.64%EV -8.62% E -3.67% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.10%EV -8.79% E -2.62% K -3.74% G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-21 15:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74% NM 34.26%EV -10.20% E -3.85% K -6.18% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.64%EV -8.62% E -3.67% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.10%EV -8.79% E -2.62% K -3.74% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 14:05
DraftKings2.75I 36.36% NM 33.57%EV -6.81% E -2.48% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -6.67% E -2.78% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.97%EV -10.15% E -3.07% K -4.41% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Bovada2.75I 36.36% NM 33.29%EV -6.81% E -2.48% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.96%EV -8.62% E -3.67% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.74%EV -10.15% E -3.07% K -4.41% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 01:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00% NM 34.86%EV -15.29% E -6.11% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 38.73%EV -12.51% E -5.56% K -10.01% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.41%EV -10.15% E -3.07% K -4.41% G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-22 13:19
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00% NM 34.55%EV -15.29% E -6.11% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 39.27%EV -14.45% E -6.57% K -12.04% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.18%EV -10.15% E -3.07% K -4.41% G +0.000%15.8%2026-06-21 15:49
William Hill2.70I 37.04% NM 33.83%EV -8.51% E -3.15% K -5.01% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.06%EV -6.67% E -2.78% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.11%EV -11.51% E -3.54% K -5.11% G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-21 15:49
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46% NM 33.72%EV -11.90% E -4.58% K -7.44% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 39.31%EV -13.28% E -5.96% K -10.80% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.97%EV -11.51% E -3.54% K -5.11% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-03 12:05
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46% NM 33.40%EV -11.90% E -4.58% K -7.44% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 39.47%EV -14.45% E -6.57% K -12.04% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.13%EV -12.87% E -4.02% K -5.85% G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-21 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82% NM 34.28%EV -16.98% E -6.93% K -11.71% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 39.06%EV -16.40% E -7.63% K -14.26% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 26.66%EV -14.23% E -4.52% K -6.62% G +0.000%19.1%2026-06-21 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerFredrikstad FK (Local)Lillestrom (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%2.28I 43.86%3.20I 31.25%13.6%2026-07-04 12:05