مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fredrikstad FK v Lillestrom

البداية: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fredrikstad FK 0–2 Lillestrom

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.35%3.29السعر العادل
EV +1.08%
الأفضلية +0.323%
Kelly +0.462%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.14%30.42%30.32%31.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.043.053.3335.71%32.88%32.79%30.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lillestrom (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.85%2.33السعر العادل
EV -1.02%
الأفضلية -0.442%
Kelly -0.780%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.83%42.81%42.83%44.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.162.3150.00%46.47%46.30%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.80%3.73السعر العادل
EV -0.843%
الأفضلية -0.228%
Kelly -0.312%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.51%26.77%26.85%27.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.413.403.7031.25%29.36%29.41%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV +1.08%E +0.323%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.52%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 11:00
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -2.87%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -1.91%E -0.523%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 11:55
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.09%EV -3.78%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 11:54
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.843%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 11:55
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.843%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 11:54
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 11:39
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 11:39
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:04
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:19
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:19
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.31%E -3.88%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 11:09
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:44
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 11:49
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 11:55
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:09
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:09
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:45
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:24
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:24
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:19
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -13.45%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-11 11:34
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -9.85%E -3.32%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.83%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -7.81%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 11:25
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:39
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 11:04
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.94%EV -12.59%E -6.17%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-11 11:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 11:53
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 11:44
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 11:34
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:20
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 11:24
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 11:04
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-11 11:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-07-11 11:54
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-07-11 11:55